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The dog days for strategists are coming to an end. The rule of
reengineering as the main tool for improving corporate performance and
competitiveness is in its final death agony. It is becoming clear to most
companies that the redesign of business processes to control costs is an
insufficient approach to success. Companies need to move beyond business
processes and change their business models. Similarly, companies need to
move beyond cost control to address the more significant issue of how to
create value.
The reason is simple. The context has changed-we are entering a new
economy. It is widely accepted that the developed world is changing from an
industrial economy based on steel, automobiles, and roads to a new economy
built on silicon, computers, and networks. Many people talk of a shift in
economic relationships that's as significant as the previous displacement of
the agricultural age by the industrial age. There are new dynamics, new
rules, and new drivers for success.
But as Alan Webber, former editorial director of the Harvard Business
Review, wrote several years ago: "[N]o one has asked the all-important
question. . . what's so new about the new economy?"1
The Twelve Themes of the New Economy
A dozen overlapping themes are emerging which differentiate the new
economy from the old. Understanding these themes is the precondition for
transforming a business for success.
Theme 1: Knowledge-The new economy is a knowledge economy, based on human
capital and networks. Knowledge permeates through everything
important-people, products, organizations. There have always been people who
worked with their minds rather than their hands. In the new economy, these
are the majority of the workforce. Already, almost 60 percent of American
workers are knowledge workers and eight of ten new jobs are in
informationintensive sectors of the economy.
The factory of today is as different from the industrial factory of the
old economy as the latter was from the craft shop of the earlier agrarian
economy. A typical AlliedSignal plant is full of robots, brimming with
microprocessors, and many of the plant workers have engineering degrees. The
average worker at some Nortel plants has a community college degree.
The president of a large management consulting company said to me, "We're
in a risky business. Our key assets walk out the door every night." This is
increasingly true of all business. Knowledge workers will themselves become
the key form of capital.
When evaluating the assets of a new economy compan like Netscape, you
don't ask old economy questions like, "How much land does the company own?"
"How much inventory does it have?" The only meaningful assets are contained
in the minds of its managers and employees.
Traditional financial capital is an important asset, but a fleeting one.
Three years ago Netscape had no capital. Microsoft, the fourth most valuable
company in the United States. having a market value today of around $120
billion, had virtually no capital as recently as 20 years ago. And it won't
have any 20 years from now if it makes a couple of hig mistakes.
'I'he dominant form of capital in the emerging economy will be the kids
oft the Network (Generation (N-Gen). More than any other ienration, these
children need--and want-to construct solutions to the growing problems that
threaten this small and increasingly fragile planet. There is nO more
critical challenge facing husiness and government than to understand how
that capital can be nourished.
Theme 2: Digitization-The new economy is a digital economy. Throughout
history, revolutions in a natural resource have led to new tools, which led
to new wealth and social development. The new age could be aptly dubbed the
age of sand. The affairs of commerce, business transactions, human
communications, and the insights of science are all reduced to charges on
particles of silicon or through glass fibers-both based in sand.
In the new economy, information is increasingly digital in form-bits.
When information becomes digitized and communicated through digital
networks, a new world of possibilities unfolds. Vast amounts of information
can be squeezed or compressed and transmitted at the speed of light. The
quality of the information can be far better than with analog transmissions.
Information can be stored and retrieved from around the world, providing
instant access to much of the information recorded by human civilization.
New digital appliances can be created which fit in your pocket and can
impact most aspects of business and personal life.
Theme 3: Virtualization-As information shifts from analog to digital,
physical things can become virtual-changing the metabolism of the economy,
the types of institutions and relationships possible, and the nature of
economic activity itself. The new economy includes the:
* Virtual Alien-People working and participating in one country's economy
who are physically located somewhere else.
* Virtual Business Park-"House" business resources on the Net to help
companies rapidly create virtual corporations, as in Bell South's "Media
Park," which provides resources for the creative community. * Virtual
Congress (aka Virtual Hearing)-Legislative hearings held from multiple
locations in multiple time dimensions.
* Virtual Government Agency-Many government agencies which have a similar
purpose linked by networks to deliver services through a single window to
the public.
* Virtual Mall-An environment on the Net where like things can be found.
* Virtual Stockyard-Electronic auction of livestock using interactive
workstations, as at Calgary Stockyard Ltd., which conducts two-thirds of its
cattle transactions electronically; * Virtual Water Cooler-Places on the Net
where people can engage in informal, even playful, communications like those
that occur around the physical water cooler.
Theme 4: Molecularization-The new economy is a molecular economy. The old
corporation is being disaggregated, replaced by dynamic molecules and
clusters of individuals and entities which form the basis of economic
activity. The organization does not necessarily disappear, but it is
transformed. "Mass" becomes "molecular" in all aspects of economic and
social life.
The principal economic unit of the industrial economy was the
corporation. The objective of every chief executive and board of directors
was to grow the corporation's size, revenue, and profit. But the
traditional, command-andcontrol hierarchy has been in deep trouble for years
because it was poorly equipped to respond to the new business needs.
Conventional wisdom of the last decade has called for more responsive,
flatter, team-based structures.
However, as Riel Miller, an economist working with the Alliance for
Converging Technologies, put it, "The necessity of adding knowledge at every
step in the value chain is beginning to call into question the familiar
notion of the firm as an organizational unit. The Net may be, at one and the
same time, the source of both the demise and salvation of the firm as we
have known it."2
The industrial hierarchy and economy are giving way to economic
structures and molecular organizations. A molecule is the smallest particle
into which a substance can be divided and still have the chemical identity
of the original substance. Molecules can be held together by electrical
forces. In solids, attracting and repelling forces are balanced, holding the
molecules in place. In liquids, the molecules move about easily although
they still have attractive forces between each other. As conditions change
(e.g., temperature), the state of the molecules changes as well.
The analogy is helpful in understanding the new economy. The knowledge
worker (human molecule) functions as a business unit of one.' Motivated,
self-learning, entrepreneurial workers empowered by and collaborating
through new tools apply their knowledge and creativity to create value.
Conditions may warrant a solid structure, tightly binding molecules
together. More likely, conditions will require more dynamic relationships
between molecules-causing them to cluster in teams like liquid crystals, or
even to move more freely as in liquids. The capacity for new relationships
is profoundly increased through the new infostructure. There is still a role
for the organization to provide a base structure for such molecular
activity, but it is a far cry from the old hierarchy.
When such molecular activity is extended to the economy as a whole, we
can see very different kinds of relationships. For example, the mass media
will become the molecular media, where readers, listeners, and viewers
access and interact with millions of "channels." Mass production becomes
molecular production with production runs of one-rather than one
million-pair of jeans. Even products become composed of molecules linked
together through standard interfaces. Mass marketing becomes molecular
marketing as marketers identify specific customer groups or individuals to
receive sales information.
Theme 5: Integration/Internetworking--The new economy is a networked
economy, integrating molecules into clusters which network with others for
the creation of wealth. The new paradigm in wealth creation is possible
because of digital computer networks and because of a shift from the
host-computer, hierarchical networks of the past to peerto-peer webs based
on the Internet model. As the bandwidth of such networks grows to achieve
full multimedia, the opportunities for new institutional structures grows
dramatically.
The new networked organizational structures are not simply the creation
of "process-oriented" organizations in which "stovepipe" business processes
are reengineered horizontally to save costs and improve responsiveness. Nor
is the change simply a shift to team-based structures. Rather, it is a
radical rethinking of the nature and functioning of the organization and the
relationships between organizations. The new organization, dubbed by the
Alliance for Converging Technologies as the "Internetworked Enterprise," is
a vast web of relationships, including all levels and functions, in which
the boundaries inside and outside are permeable and fluid.
The new technology networks enable small companies to overcome the main
advantages of large companieseconomies of scale and access to resources. At
the same time, these smaller companies are not burdened with the main
disadvantages of large firms-deadening bureaucracy, stifling hierarchy, and
the inability to change. As larger companies become clusters of smaller
molecules which can work well together, they gain the advantages of agility,
autonomy, and flexibility.
The Internetworked Business is a far-reaching extension of the virtual
corporation, because there will be access to external business partners,
constant reconfiguration of business relationships, and a dramatic increase
in outsourcing. The Internetworked Enterprise will behave just like the
Internet, where everyone can participate and the total effort is greater
than the sum of the parts.
The overall economy will act in the same way. Networks of networks along
the Internet model are beginning to break down walls among companies and
their suppliers, customers, affinity groups, and competitors.
Theme 6: Disintermediation-Middleman functions between producers and
consumers are being eliminated through digital networks. Middle businesses,
functions, or people need to move up the food chain to create new value or
face being disintermediated. The "reintermediation" opportunities are
greater than the disintermediation perils.
If your company has agents, wholesalers, distributors, retailers,
brokers, or middle managers, it's time to restrategize. All of these roles
in the past have been in the business of executing transactions, brokering,
or boosting communications in a pre-digital economy. Disintermediation is
changing the signal pattern. Musicians and their producers won't need
recording companies, retail outlets, or broadcasters when their music
becomes a database entry on the Net.
Manufacturers could use the new infrastructure to sell direct over the
network, thereby eliminating intermediary retail channels. An electric tool
and small appliance company could provide video or interactive programs on
home renovations featuring its tools. The manufacturers become infotainment
companies, providing content on the Net. In the process, the large retailers
become disintermediated.
Government is also a candidate for disintermediation. The public must
line up at 15 different places to deal with 15 different government
agencies-each having an office, staff, subcontractors, and related costs,
and each delivering various degrees of service effectiveness. Leadership at
the state level could create a single window on government through the
information highway. Taxpayers could interact with computer-based services
or contact a human being, if necessary If managed effectively,
disintermediation could not only save billions of tax dollars but bring
government closer to its constituents and improve customer service.
Similarly, travel agents are vulnerable. More than 20 percent of air
travelers purchase tickets directly from the airlines. Soon, tickets will
disappear as the process becomes digitized. Agents need to become travel
consultants delivering new services. Agencies specializing in business
travel can become convention planners, helping to ensure a high-performance
meeting, ensuring best discounts from hotels, and so on. Summit Travel of
WinstonSalem, N.C., has created a software package that helps travelers
search the Net for flights and make the transactions themselves. But the
software also routes the reservations through Summit, which rebates 5
percent of customers' fares.
Theme 7: Convergence-In the new economy, the dominant economic sector is
being created by three converging industries which, in turn, provide the
infrastructure for wealth creation by all sectors. In the old economy, the
automotive industry was the key sector. The dominant sector in the new
economy is the new media, a product of the convergence of the computing,
telecommunications, and content industries. In the U.S., new media and its
ancillary industries and services account for more than 15 percent of GDP
Computer hardware and communications bandwidth are both becoming
commodities. The profit in the new sector is moving to content because
that's where value is created. However, many of the content companies-the
entertainment companies, broadcast networks, and publishers-are slow off the
block as old paradigms die hard. The more successful companies are those
with a background in software, services, computer-based content, and digital
telecommunications.
Convergence is becoming the basis of all sectors. The new media is
already beginning to transform the arts, the way scientific research is
conducted, and the way education is delivered. It is on the threshold of
transforming the firm as we know it, and changing the way we do business,
work, play, live, and probably even think.
Theme 8: Innovation-The new economy is an innovation-based economy.
"Obsolete your own products." This theme is made clear to product planners,
strategists, engineers, developers, and managers at Microsoft and is
constantly reinforced in all aspects of their work. If you've just developed
a great product, your goal is to develop a better one which will make the
first one obsolete. If you don't, someone else will.
Compare this view to many mainframe aficionados in IBM who fought against
shifting IBM resources to the PC, open systems, and client/server
development. Their goal was not to obsolete but to preserve and resist
innovation. In 1985, IBM chief executive John Akers was not willing to
listen to how the mainframe, which was the foundation of IBM's revenue and
market dominance, was going to become obsolete. The results of resisting
innovation became clear in the marketplace.
Innovation drives every aspect of economic and social life. In the arts,
whole new art forms are emerging based on interactive multimedia.
Multi-volume encyclopedias have been replaced by a single CD-ROM that can
hold 360,000 pages of text, which in turn is now being replaced by Net-based
products and the Net itself. Not so long ago, music videos were a
promotional add-on for a singer; now they are necessary for success.
Innovation is also beginning to drive education curricula. In the new
economy, the education system must constantly change content, instructional
tools, and approaches to be relevant.
In the innovation economy, human imagination is the main source of value.
The critical challenge for any company in the knowledge age is to create a
climate where innovation is prized, rewarded, and encouraged. Growth in the
innovation economy comes from small- and medium-sized businesses rather than
large corporations or governments. What's required are educational systems
that teach and motivate students to learn and be creative, rather than
recall information. Governments and regulatory frameworks must help liberate
the human spirit for invention and creation.
Customer intimacy may be one way to win in the innovation economy. But
increasingly, it is not adequate to understand customers and their concerns
and desires. Given the pace of change and complexity of markets, customers
often cannot articulate their needs. You need to innovate beyond what your
markets can imagine. Your organization needs a deep-seated and pervasive
comprehension of emerging technologies. And you need a climate where
risk-taking is not punished, where creativity can flourish, and where human
imagination can soar.
Theme 9: Prosumption-In the new economy, the gap between consumers and
producers blurs. As mass production is replaced by mass customization,
producers must create products that reflect the requirements and tastes of
individual consumers. In the new economy, consumers become involved in the
actual production process. They can, for example, enter a new car showroom
and configure an automobile on the computer screen from a series of choices.
In the new economy, a "television viewer" will design a customized news
broadcast by highlighting the topics of interest and specifying preferred
sources, commentators, and graphic styles. Moreover, that viewer will be
able to watch the broadcast whenever time permits.
Every consumer on the information highway becomes a producer by creating
and sending a message to a colleague, contributing to a bulletin-board
discussion group, altering the end of a movie, test-driving a virtual car,
or visualizing the brain of a patient across the country.
As the information and knowledge content of products and services grows,
organizations will shift from being only consumers of information a
technology to infotech ii; ducers. Automotive companies won't just assemble
vehicles,they'll produce everything from infomercials to driver navigational
tools and programming about auto safety Toyota is already appealing be
forty-something buyer with a thirty-minute infomerical and the
twenty-something crowd with an interactive CD.
Theme 10: Immediacy-In an economy based on bits, immediacy becomes a key
driver and variable in economic activity and business success. Product life
cycles are cratering. In 1990, automobiles took seven years from concept to
production. Today, they take two years. In the old economy, an invention
like the Polaroid camera ensured a revenue stream for decades. Today,
consumer electronic products have a typical lifespan of two months.
The new enterprise is a real-time enterprise, continuously and
immediately adjusting to changing business conditions through information
immediacy. Goods are received from suppliers and products shipped to
customers "just in time," reducing or eliminating the warehousing function
and allowing enterprises to shift from mass production to custom online
production. Customer orders arrive electronically and are instantly
processed, with corresponding invoices sent electronically and databases
updated.4
Enterprises seek to "compete in time" effectively.5
EDI (Electronic Data Interchange) is a powerful, if badly misunderstood,
example of how the information highway is creating information immediacy."
Advocates of EDI argue that by linking computer systems between suppliers
and their customers, companies can save considerably over manual,
non-digital methods. In fact, EDI is just the first splash in a tidal wave
of electronic commerce that will shift the metabolism of business to
real-time, and in so doing forever change the relationship between
companies.
Theme 11: Globalization-The new economy is a global economy. Just as the
bi-polar geopolitical world has disintegrated, giving way to a new, dynamic,
and volatile global environment, economic walls are falling as well. This
phenomenon is related to the rise of the new economy. As Peter Drucker says,
"Knowledge knows no boundaries." There is no domestic knowledge and no
international knowledge. With knowledge becoming the key resource, there is
only a world economy, even though the individual organization operates in a
national, regional, or local setting.
Linked to this, and despite the efforts of old paradigm warriors fighting
for protectionism, free trade zones are growing in North America and the
Pacific Rim. Global customers demand global products. Work is performed
globally by exploiting cost advantages of traditional input factors such as
labor and raw materials. New economic and political regions and structures
(such as the European Union) are leading to a decline in the importance of
the nation state.
(Globalization is both chicken and egg--it is driven by and driving the
new technology that enables global action. Computer networks allow companies
to provide 24-hour service as customer requests are transferred from one
time zone to another. Networks enable smaller firms to collaborate in
achieving economies of scale. Software development can be conducted on
networks, independent of location. The office is no longer a place, it is a
global system. Technology is eliminating the "place" in workplace.
Similarly, globalization is driving the extension of technology. Global
businesses need to be able to link with customers, suppliers, employees, and
partners throughout the world. Companies and academics are working to build
"transnational enterprises," "answer networks," "boundaryless firms,"
"global organizations," and "international enterprises."7,8
Theme 12: Discordance-lJnprecedented social issues are beginning to
arise, potentially causing massive trauma and conflict. As we stand on the
frontier of the new economy, we can also see the beginnings of a new
political economy that will raise far-reaching questions about power,
privacy, access, equity, quality of work life, quality of life in general,
and the future of the democratic process itself. As tectonic shifts in most
aspects of human existence clash with old cultures, significant social
conflict will tear at the fabric of structures and institutions.
New social dialectics are emerging. Hegel developed the concept of
conflicting forces leading to a synthesis of something new. Marx applied the
notion to a view of the evolution of history called dialectical materialism.
The new economy demands that the notion of dialectic forces be revisited.
For example, there are strong pressures for the dispersion of economic and
political power. These pressures conflict with old structures which seek to
centralize economic and political power.
The nature of work and the requirements of the workforce in the digital
economy are fundamentally different. The number of workers involved in the
production of goods (the old economy) has been falling for a decade. The new
economy is bringing highly paid, high-value jobs, but there is little job
mobility between old and new. There is a concurrent trend toward
self-employment and the creation of small, knowledge-based industries
providing work on a contract basis. In the digital economy, as intellectual
capital becomes the most valuable resource, knowledge workers can exert
their power in infinitely more complex and effective ways. If they are
unhappy or feel unwanted, they are likely to set up their own businesses-as
millions have done in the last half decade. A good brain, telephone, modem,
and PC is all that's required to produce. Knowledge workers require
motivation and trusting team relationships to be effective. They have
emerging power far beyond anything Marx ever imagined.
These owners of the new means of production will be better positioned
than ever to share in the bounty. Yet this growing power conflicts with
traditional ownership and power structures based on ownership of industrial
age assets-specifically capital.
In the new economy, those with access to the new infrastructure will be
able to participate fully in social and commercial life. Those without
access-because of cost, lack of knowledge, or lack of motivation-will tend
to fall behind. If not managed properly this situation will severely
increase social stratification, creating a new underclass.
Strategy and Leadership
The new economy is bringing the challenge of leadership to the fore.
Firms need to change their business modelstheir products, markets,
distribution channels, organizational structures, cultures, and more. This
revolutionary change can occur only when everyone in the company becomes
involved in the strategy.
| [Reference] |
| 1. Alan IMf. Webber, "What's So New About the New
Economy?" Harvard Business Review, Jan-Feb, 1994. |
| 2. My thanks to Riel Miller for his insights on
this section. |
| 3. The first to introduce the notion of a businss
unit of one were Stan Davis and Bill Davidson in 2020 Vision: Transform
Your Business Today to Succeed in Tomorrow's Economy (Simon & Schuster,
New York, 1991). Subsequently, Tom Peters has taken up the slogan in his
seminars. |
| 4. Stan Davis and Bill Davidson, 2020 Vision:
Transform Your Business Today to Succeed in Tomorrow's Economy (Simon &
Schuster, New York, 1991). The authors believe the "real-time
organization" does not yet exist. |
| 5. Peter G.W. Keen, Competing in Time: Using
Telecommunications for Competitive Advantage (Ballinger Publishing
Company New York, 1988). |
| 6. EDI (Electronic Data Interchange) refers to the
computer-to-computer exchange of data and documents. The biggest
obstacles to EDI are management rather than technological issues.
Companies have had difficulty understanding how to reshape their
business practices and relationships with other companies enabled by the
technology. |
| 7. Stephen P. Bradley, Jerry A. Hausman, and
Richard Nolan, Globalization, Technology and Competition (Harvard
Business School Press, 1993). |
| 8. Mary O'Hara-Devereaux and Robert Johansen,
Global Work-Bridging Distance, Culture and Time (Jossey-Bass Publishers,
1994). |
| [Author Affiliation] |
| Don Tapscott is chairman of the Alliance for
Converging Technologies, a Toronto-based think tank that conducts
multi-million dollar investigations into the impact of the new media on
business strategy. He is author of six books, including the best-sellers
Paradigm Shift (McGraw-Hill, 1993) and The Digital Economy (McGraw-Hill,
1995). His new book, Growing Up Digital, is scheduled for publication by
McGraw-Hill in October 1997. |
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